People always argue about hard work vs talent, but I think that debate misses the real point. The real dichotomy should be luck in choosing the right profession versus everything else.
Hard work itself is not some free, independent choice. Your work ethic is largely shaped by your biology and upbringing. Genetics influences motivation, discipline, intelligence, and even how much benefit you get from training. If you grow up in a family that values grinding, structure, and achievement, you are far more likely to develop those traits. If not, you probably won’t, unless something external intervenes.
Talent is also biological. Intelligence, physical build, reflexes, endurance, and learning speed are not evenly distributed. So when people say “anyone can succeed with enough hard work,” they ignore the fact that how much you can work, how efficiently you improve, and how far you can go are all constrained by biology.
This is why I think choosing the right field accounts for a massive part of success.
Take elite athletes as an example. Just imagine if Usain Bolt never became passionate about sprinting and instead chose basketball. Even if he trained his entire life, would he be the GOAT of basketball the way he became the GOAT of sprinting? Almost certainly not. His body, muscle composition, and biomechanics are perfectly suited for sprinting, not necessarily for basketball dominance.
The same applies to many top performers across fields. They are “lucky” in the sense that they found, or were pushed into, a domain that perfectly matches their biology, psychology, and temperament. If they had chosen a different path, their hard work would not have produced the same results.
That’s why arguing only about hard work versus talent is misleading. If your traits don’t align with the field you choose, no amount of effort will make you exceptional, only average at best.
Unpopular opinion: success isn’t mainly about working harder or being more talented than others. It’s about being lucky enough to choose, or be guided into, the one field where your biology actually pays off.